Pork "was not bullish on the upside" forecasting the Spring Festival will rise

Although the price of live pigs dropped by 1.7% last week, when the reporter visited the pork prices in some markets, it was found that the retail price of the market still had no obvious drop. The meat price of Wuhua remained at 26 to 30 yuan per kilogram. between. Yesterday, the reporter interviewed Hu Xiahui, chief of the Science and Technology Section of the Municipal Livestock Husbandry Bureau. He believes that the retail prices in the terminal market are generally "not bullish on the upside." Therefore, the decline in the price of pork slaughter only made the slaughter households and retailers make a "big" "Slam" did not have much impact on the purchase price of pork by the public.

The price of live hogs rises and falls with the “supply and demand” adjustment. Hu Kechang told reporters that people’s understanding of pork prices rose or fell, referring to the price of fat pigs weighing around 110 kilograms, while the retail price of the terminal on the market was not completely affected. Most retailers are "bullish and not bearish" as a result of the price of the stalls. However, the slaughter price of live pigs is regulated by the market supply and demand. Of course, there will be some elements that are pulled by the season. “In case of Mid-Autumn Festival, New Year’s Day and Spring Festival, the slaughter price of live pigs will have some fluctuations, especially on the eve of the Spring Festival. Due to the large increase in demand, the slaughter price of live pigs will also soar, so the retail price of pork before the Spring Festival this year will continue to rise.

Before and after the Spring Festival, Mr. Hu told the reporter that “After the Spring Festival, the slaughter price of live pigs will start to slowly decline from a high level, and it will enter the off-season in August. From August onwards, prices will slowly rise again.” But pork in recent years The price is a relatively special situation, especially since 2007, the price of live pigs actually rose to 9 yuan per catty, and many farmers saw the profits of raising pigs and increased the amount of breeding. By 2009, the market's imbalance in supply and demand for pork caused pork prices to plummet all the way. Last year, the lowest retail price of pork dropped to 14 yuan per kilogram. ”

However, at the end of last year, the low survival rate of piglets raised by many farmers in our city led to a significant drop in the slaughter rate of pigs. The output was down, but the demand did not drop, and the situation of less than demand was created. Therefore, by the spring of this year, the price of pigs for sale and the retail price have all been rising. The price reduction period in previous years has become the price increase period this year. Later, as the price of meat continued to rise, the country began to intervene in October to conduct macro-control, first mobilizing the state reserve of pork, followed by the introduction of imported pork, which reduced the slaughter price of live pigs to about 20 yuan per kilogram. As of now, the price of live pigs on the market has entered a relatively reasonable stage. Generally, retail pigs are sold at retail prices. Due to the small amount of scattered fish, the market purchase price is about 13.12 yuan per kilogram. The purchase price of large households is 16.46 per kilogram. Yuan around.

Retailer "not bullish on bullish"

“As for the regulation of the terminal price of pork, it requires the relevant departments to intervene in management,” said Hu Kechang, under normal circumstances, the pork from the acquisition of live pigs to the slaughter to the sale of white pork, will experience several price increases, and finally reach the hands of the people. The pigs are white pigs. "This is the kind of pork that has been divided into pieces and is divided into fine meat and pork." At present, the price of pork in some stores is still about 44 yuan per kilogram. There is a great disparity between the price and the retail price. "According to the current situation that retailers are not bullish on the upside, the price of pork in the retail market will surely rise before the Spring Festival as the price of slaughter pigs rises."